

✅ Know Your Terms: In general, u nity of effort occurs when multiple organizations harmoniously work toward similar objectives. Put simply, it would be a mirror of Russia’s failed invasion. A general attack in all directions to reclaim lost territory would also sputter due to a lack of “unity of effort” (see sidebar) and the liberation forces’ inability to support one another-even indirectly. Plus, Ukraine’s shortage of equipment, ammunition, personnel trained in combined arms, and a general lack of experience in large-scale operations makes an all-out attack infeasible. Kyiv is incapable of launching a single, sustained offensive that wins the war. Trouble is, this counteroffensive will not play to Ukraine’s strengths. Can Ukraine pull another rabbit out of the hat? Outsiders also did not expect the fall 2022 offensive to succeed to the extent that it did, placing Ukrainian forces in an excellent position to make major gains this time around. Outside observers generally expected Ukraine to fall in the early days of the war, yet it survived. There are great expectations for the Ukrainian counteroffensive, partly due to the Ukrainians themselves. The flat, largely featureless terrain promises rapid maneuver, but also easy observation of enemy forces. The brigades are expected to be in the vanguard of the attack.Ī wheat field outside Melitopol. Identified in the recent Air National Guard intelligence leaks, the brigades are staffed with Ukrainian volunteers and equipped with new, Western equipment-including Leopard 2 tanks from NATO Bradley infantry fighting vehicles and Stryker infantry combat vehicles from the United States AMX-10RC armored cars from France, and other donated heavy equipment. Clearly, a pattern is emerging the strikes are meant to start shaping the battlefield in Ukraine’s favor, slowing the supply of oil to Russian frontline troops, making them more vulnerable to a ground offensive.Īt the same time, Ukraine is preparing nine newly-assembled “assault brigades” for combat operations. And back on April 29, drone strikes hit an oil depot in Crimea. Earlier this month, Ukrainian drone strikes hit the Ilsky oil refinery, near Krasnodar in southern Russia, twice. Over the last few weeks, several mysterious fires and explosions have occurred both in Russian-occupied Crimea and in Russia itself.

Soldiers of the Ukrainian 24th Motorized Brigade attend a medal ceremony in Donetsk Oblast on as the Russian-Ukrainian war continues.
